In a Nutshell
An increase in net operating income (NOI) generally leads to a higher price for an apartment building or other commercial real estate property. The impact of an additional $10,000 on NOI, however, isn’t a simple one-to-one ratio and depends on several factors:
Capitalization Rate: Investors use a metric called the capitalization rate (cap rate) to estimate the potential return on their investment. The cap rate is calculated by dividing the NOI by the property’s value. Lower cap rates indicate a higher valuation for the property and vice versa.
- Scenario 1:ย If a property has a $1 million NOI and a 10% cap rate,ย its current value would be $10 million ($1 million / 10%).ย So,ย an additional $10,000 in NOI would increase the property’s value by $100,000 ($10,000 / 10%).
- Scenario 2:ย However,ย if the same property has a 5% cap rate due to higher demand or desirability,ย an additional $10,000 in NOI would result in a $200,000 increase in value ($10,000 / 5%).
Risk and Uncertainty: The perceived risk and uncertainty associated with the property also play a role. A stable property with consistent income might have a lower cap rate than a one with higher vacancy rates or unpredictable income streams.This means that for the same increase in NOI, the stable property’s value would increase by a larger percentage.
Other Factors: Market conditions, competition, and financing options can also influence the impact of an NOI increase on the property’s price. For example, in a strong market with limited investment opportunities, even a small increase in NOI might push the price up significantly.
Here’s a breakdown of the potential impact of each $10,000 increase in NOI for different cap rates:
- Cap Rate (5%):ย Increase in value by $200,000
- Cap Rate (7.5%):ย Increase in value by $133,333
- Cap Rate (10%):ย Increase in value by $100,000
- Cap Rate (12.5%):ย Increase in value by $80,000
It’s important to remember that these are just examples, and the actual impact of an NOI increase on the property’s price will depend on the specific circumstances of each case.